0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923
0x8f69…2923 on Polymarket: -$21k total P&L, 45% win rate, 1,198 markets traded, $253k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | $9k | 49¢ | 90¢ | $4k |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | $9k | 51¢ | 88¢ | $3k |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | $6k | 93¢ | 97¢ | $246.98 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $6k | 68¢ | 84¢ | $974.16 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | $7k | 83¢ | 78¢ | −$333.86 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | $5k | 90¢ | 95¢ | $235.55 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $5k | 93¢ | 96¢ | $148.46 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | $15k | 15¢ | 30¢ | $2k |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | $9k | 48¢ | 38¢ | −$941.23 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | $3k | 86¢ | 97¢ | $316.47 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | $3k | 68¢ | 97¢ | $808.84 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | $3k | 77¢ | 90¢ | $365.76 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.2M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.9% | $30.4M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $422k | $396k | 2.5% | 58.8% | $9.4M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |