0x90ed5bffbffbfc344aa1195572d89719a398b5bc
failstober has made $399k on Polymarket across 943 markets, winning 33% of the ones that resolved. Pop Culture is the strength: $289k over 860 positions, mostly Movies & TV markets, with Politics next at $33k. Right now it holds 119 open positions worth $104k, the largest on “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…” (Yes). It wins rarely but big: the payoff on the hits covers the misses. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 383k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5k |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27k |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 241k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 13k |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 45k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2k |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3k |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 643 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheImpasse | $57k | $44k |
| AvramTopalov | $29k | $28k |
| rw-mehtape | −$13k | $16k |
| 0xf14e… | $22k | $14k |
| sebyastiens | $10k | $13k |
| korda77 | $43k | $13k |
| 0xdc71… | $12k | $12k |
| Kurumi.chan. | $3k | $11k |
| cat-dog | $44k | $11k |
| merod | $25k | $11k |
See the Pop culture Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.