0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48
Arman2 has lost $313 on Polymarket across 773 markets, winning 58% of the ones that resolved — $865 realized and -$1.2k still open. Economics is the strength: $11k over 39 positions, mostly Markets markets, with Pop Culture next at $3.3k. Right now it holds 11 open positions worth $4.6k, the largest on “Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | Yes | 10k |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 915 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? | Yes | 2k |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 2k |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 761 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 15k |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5k |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | Yes | 4k |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| timetowander | $4.1M | $1.3M |
| debased | $933k | $718k |
| elmcap2 | $1.1M | $281k |
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| 0x0704… | $516k | $152k |
| gaven-willwin | $9k | $124k |
| arjennnnn | $115k | $123k |
| foodenjoyer | $741k | $120k |
| XAE12Archangel | $1.9M | $106k |
| 0xcb31… | $94k | $96k |
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.