0xa283dc40ed71a3a1ed231b5cd8d5fb0fc1de5a9f
HappyBear has made $5.2k on Polymarket across 236 markets, winning 93% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $1.1k over 29 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets. Right now it holds 7 open positions worth $4.2k, the largest on “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No). A high-accuracy account: right far more often than wrong. It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.2k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
Biggest open bet right now: $3.4k on No in “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”, bought at 50¢.
Track this wallet ↗| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes | 59 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 6 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 6 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| ndb1 | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $993k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.7M | $889k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.