0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2
ratehikes on Polymarket: $216k total P&L, 2% win rate, 357 markets traded, $6.3M volume. Ranked #7 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $39k | 61¢ | 96¢ | $14k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $510k | 2¢ | 5¢ | $11k |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | $3k | 24¢ | 74¢ | $2k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | $2k | 97¢ | 98¢ | $16.89 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $3k | 11¢ | 71¢ | $2k |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | $1k | 56¢ | 97¢ | $509.14 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5k | 18¢ | 21¢ | $146.44 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5k | 16¢ | 7¢ | −$498.57 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $464k | 2¢ | 0¢ | −$9k |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5 AND Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 AND Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | $16.18 | 89¢ | 89¢ | $0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $4.70 | 59¢ | 59¢ | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | $2.38 | 67¢ | 97¢ | $0.73 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 6.9% | 61.5% | $27.7M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.8% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 9.4% | 47.1% | $4.5M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 4% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2% | 50.9% | $4.9M |
| 0x06b2… | $143k | $24k | 3.3% | 49.2% | $2.8M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 12% | 42.2% | $187k |
| tdrhrhhd | $96k | $20k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |