0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3
Elias.Thornwell has made $33k on Polymarket across 24,527 markets, winning 48% of the ones that resolved — $2.5k realized and $31k still open. Economics is the strength: $11k over 239 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets, with Other next at $4.1k. Right now it holds 3,000 open positions worth $697k, the largest on “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $306 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 32k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 24k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 23k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 16k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 19k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 13k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 12k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 11k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 8k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| dromedaryy | $644k | $590k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $503k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |