0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135
novv25 on Polymarket: -$332k total P&L, 48% win rate, 128 markets traded, $6.9M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | $260k | 13¢ | 3¢ | −$28k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes | $52k | 17¢ | 6¢ | −$6k |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $12k | 15¢ | 23¢ | $832.85 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | $2k | 64¢ | 69¢ | $70.31 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $609.76 | 82¢ | 82¢ | −$3.05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $2k | 10¢ | 20¢ | $164.62 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $2k | 13¢ | 5¢ | −$174.58 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | $1k | 12¢ | 4¢ | −$83.50 |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | Yes | $924.54 | 2¢ | 1¢ | −$8.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | Yes | $238.50 | 18¢ | 4¢ | −$33.99 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $118.56 | 8¢ | 4¢ | −$5.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $2.27 | 44¢ | 89¢ | $1.01 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | $414k | $323k | 2.3% | 85.7% | $15.6M |
| 0xe5e1… | $209k | $272k | 22.7% | 81.8% | $933k |
| A1729 | $191k | $170k | -1.9% | 33.8% | $3.3M |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k | 18.6% | 86.7% | $913k |
| En11006 | $128k | $141k | 8.3% | 62.1% | $1.6M |
| Tokor | $261k | $136k | 4.4% | 58.9% | $7.6M |
| RLWG | $87k | $128k | 1.4% | 31.7% | $1.8M |
| berlinskies | $69k | $106k | 3.6% | 50.5% | $1.9M |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $17k | $106k | 2.7% | 52.4% | $2.6M |
| minusalpha1 | −$79k | $103k | -1.8% | 31.3% | $3.6M |