0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b
DancewithRisk on Polymarket: $45k total P&L, 69% win rate, 350 markets traded, $3.5M volume. Ranked #152 in Economics.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5k | 40¢ | 71¢ | $2k |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $4k | 54¢ | 86¢ | $1k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | $10k | 33¢ | 24¢ | −$893.81 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | $3k | 80¢ | 70¢ | −$284.69 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $4k | 43¢ | 38¢ | −$184.45 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | Yes | $9k | 16¢ | 16¢ | −$60.97 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | $2k | 76¢ | 79¢ | $56.11 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | Yes | $6k | 17¢ | 21¢ | $231.18 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | $2k | 71¢ | 74¢ | $56.92 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | Yes | $5k | 16¢ | 18¢ | $95.45 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | $2k | 62¢ | 39¢ | −$449.25 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? | No | $703.42 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $22.51 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 6.9% | 61.5% | $27.7M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.8% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 9.4% | 47.1% | $4.5M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 4% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2% | 50.9% | $4.9M |
| baran-ludoman | $6k | $25k | 2.8% | 48.5% | $3.2M |
| 0x06b2… | $143k | $24k | 3.3% | 49.2% | $2.8M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 12% | 42.2% | $187k |