0xb1fea3922a1998248cf2ae51f740b9be2bb7423a
Mr.Frog🐸 has made $7.5k on Polymarket across 2,089 markets, winning 42% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $5.9k over 441 positions, mostly Unattributed markets, with Economics next at $1.4k. Right now it holds 65 open positions worth $5.9k, the largest on “Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on…” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.9k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 660 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 451 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 445 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 611 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | No | 2k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 2k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | No | 474 |
| Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 230 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 300 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 552 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 2k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $1.9M | $1.5M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $992k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $846k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.