0xc0b948bed28356622ebcce46f9060bb713134fa7
criollo2 has lost $4.5k on Polymarket across 318 markets, winning 51% of the ones that resolved. Crypto is the strength: $27 over 8 positions, mostly Bitcoin markets. Right now it holds 21 open positions worth $1.1k, the largest on “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2…” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 795 |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 156 |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2k |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 479 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 206 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | Yes | 345 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 159 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 51 |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | No | 95 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | $767k | $619k |
| 0xe5e1… | $209k | $272k |
| A1729 | $205k | $177k |
| ApexUpDown | −$5k | $170k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $66k | $159k |
| RLWG | $118k | $155k |
| rekt-prediction | $134k | $138k |
| Telawin | −$31k | $136k |
| kk7777777 | −$102k | $128k |
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