How does rdba rank among Polymarket wallets?

#221 of the 1,000 most profitable Polymarket wallets by realized P&L, and #325 on the Economics leaderboard. Arbitrage and market-maker bots are excluded from both lists, so the ranks compare real conviction.

Who is rdba on Polymarket?

A Polymarket wallet (0xc4d1…8ce8) with $1.2M of total P&L across 264 markets, most active in Economics. Polynyx rebuilds every wallet's record from on-chain fills, so these are realized results, not self-reported ones.

What is rdba holding right now?

12 open positions, led by Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? (Yes, $409k). The open-book widgets list every position with its entry, current price and cash P&L.

Can I follow or copy rdba?

Clone this tracker and it refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer, every 15 on Hobby: rdba's P&L curve, 28 open positions and every print in Economics. Polydune shows you the data; it never trades for you, and nothing here is financial advice.

Wallet · Economics · live

rdba

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

#325 Economics
#44 Politics
#19 Pop Culture

rdba has made $1.2M on Polymarket across 264 markets, winning 62% of the ones that resolved — $824k realized and $372k still open. Pop Culture is the strength: $185k over 40 positions, mostly Awards markets, with Politics next at $41k. That puts it #221 of the 1,000 most profitable wallets, and #325 in Economics. Right now it holds 28 open positions worth $654k, the largest on “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026…” (Yes). It trades size, averaging $179k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗

Total P&L
$1.2M
Realized
$824k
Win rate
62%
Volume
$47.2M
Markets traded
264
Open positions
28

See what the smart money is doing.rdba's P&L curve, open book and every print, plus 200k more ranked wallets — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

rdba · wallet tracker

live

rdba · P&L curve

Trader deep-dive

Total P&L

Trader deep-dive

$1.2M

total P&L (USD)

Open positions · share of book

Trader deep-dive

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$409k63%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$206k32%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7k1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6k1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5k1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4k1%
Other$14k2%

Open book

Trader deep-dive

Market	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Now	P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	432k	12¢	95¢	$358k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	250k	76¢	83¢	$17k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	7k	95¢	98¢	$258.46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	6k	91¢	87¢	−$218.08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	6k	94¢	78¢	−$933.23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	5k	96¢	86¢	−$512.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	6k	53¢	66¢	$792.90
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	3k	99¢	99¢	$18.55
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2k	98¢	100¢	$46.82
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	2k	96¢	100¢	$71.75
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	2k	50¢	64¢	$273.06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	873	84¢	88¢	$33.49

Top Economics wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
timetowander	$4.1M	$1.3M	0.2%	37%	$129.6M
debased	$933k	$718k	0.3%	48.5%	$513.4M
elmcap2	$1.1M	$281k	0.8%	88%	$305.3M
dromedaryy	$176k	$173k	3.7%	42.5%	$12.8M
0x0704…	$516k	$152k	3.9%	68.4%	$12.4M
gaven-willwin	$9k	$124k	-1.9%	61.5%	$5.7M
arjennnnn	$115k	$123k	0.5%	71.5%	$15.3M
foodenjoyer	$741k	$120k	2.3%	52.5%	$57.9M
XAE12Archangel	$1.9M	$106k	0%	67.9%	$377.6M
0xcb31…	$94k	$96k	0.3%	34%	$61.7M

Big prints · all markets, $10k+

Live trade tape

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 0%-5%?$10k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$14k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$16k
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)$12k
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?$12k
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)$19k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$12k
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$37k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$29k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$17k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$15k
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$28k

Open positions

What rdba holds.

P&L by category

More top Economics wallets

FAQ

How does rdba rank among Polymarket wallets?: #221 of the 1,000 most profitable Polymarket wallets by realized P&L, and #325 on the Economics leaderboard. Arbitrage and market-maker bots are excluded from both lists, so the ranks compare real conviction.
Who is rdba on Polymarket?: A Polymarket wallet (0xc4d1…8ce8) with $1.2M of total P&L across 264 markets, most active in Economics. Polynyx rebuilds every wallet's record from on-chain fills, so these are realized results, not self-reported ones.
What is rdba holding right now?: 12 open positions, led by Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? (Yes, $409k). The open-book widgets list every position with its entry, current price and cash P&L.
Can I follow or copy rdba?: Clone this tracker and it refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer, every 15 on Hobby: rdba's P&L curve, 28 open positions and every print in Economics. Polydune shows you the data; it never trades for you, and nothing here is financial advice.

See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Wallet · Economics · live

rdba

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

#325 Economics
#44 Politics
#19 Pop Culture

Total P&L
$1.2M
Realized
$824k
Win rate
62%
Volume
$47.2M
Markets traded
264
Open positions
28

See what the smart money is doing.rdba's P&L curve, open book and every print, plus 200k more ranked wallets — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

rdba · wallet tracker

live

rdba · P&L curve

Trader deep-dive

Total P&L

Trader deep-dive

$1.2M

total P&L (USD)

Open positions · share of book

Trader deep-dive

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$409k63%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$206k32%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7k1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6k1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5k1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4k1%
Other$14k2%

Open book

Trader deep-dive

Market	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Now	P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	432k	12¢	95¢	$358k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	250k	76¢	83¢	$17k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	7k	95¢	98¢	$258.46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	6k	91¢	87¢	−$218.08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	6k	94¢	78¢	−$933.23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	5k	96¢	86¢	−$512.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	6k	53¢	66¢	$792.90
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	3k	99¢	99¢	$18.55
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2k	98¢	100¢	$46.82
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	2k	96¢	100¢	$71.75
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	2k	50¢	64¢	$273.06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	873	84¢	88¢	$33.49

Top Economics wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
timetowander	$4.1M	$1.3M	0.2%	37%	$129.6M
debased	$933k	$718k	0.3%	48.5%	$513.4M
elmcap2	$1.1M	$281k	0.8%	88%	$305.3M
dromedaryy	$176k	$173k	3.7%	42.5%	$12.8M
0x0704…	$516k	$152k	3.9%	68.4%	$12.4M
gaven-willwin	$9k	$124k	-1.9%	61.5%	$5.7M
arjennnnn	$115k	$123k	0.5%	71.5%	$15.3M
foodenjoyer	$741k	$120k	2.3%	52.5%	$57.9M
XAE12Archangel	$1.9M	$106k	0%	67.9%	$377.6M
0xcb31…	$94k	$96k	0.3%	34%	$61.7M

Big prints · all markets, $10k+

Live trade tape

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 0%-5%?$10k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$14k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$16k
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)$12k
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 3?$12k
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)$19k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$12k
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$37k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$29k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$17k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$15k
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$28k

Open positions

What rdba holds.

P&L by category

More top Economics wallets

FAQ

How does rdba rank among Polymarket wallets?: #221 of the 1,000 most profitable Polymarket wallets by realized P&L, and #325 on the Economics leaderboard. Arbitrage and market-maker bots are excluded from both lists, so the ranks compare real conviction.
Who is rdba on Polymarket?: A Polymarket wallet (0xc4d1…8ce8) with $1.2M of total P&L across 264 markets, most active in Economics. Polynyx rebuilds every wallet's record from on-chain fills, so these are realized results, not self-reported ones.
What is rdba holding right now?: 12 open positions, led by Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? (Yes, $409k). The open-book widgets list every position with its entry, current price and cash P&L.
Can I follow or copy rdba?: Clone this tracker and it refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer, every 15 on Hobby: rdba's P&L curve, 28 open positions and every print in Economics. Polydune shows you the data; it never trades for you, and nothing here is financial advice.

See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.