0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
Erasmus. has lost $240k on Polymarket across 771 markets, winning 67% of the ones that resolved — -$298k realized and $58k still open. Politics is the strength: $491k over 22 positions, mostly Geopolitics markets, with Other next at $248k. Right now it holds 12 open positions worth $470k, the largest on “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No). It trades size, averaging $191k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 285k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 74k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 51k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 27k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 7k |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 37k |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5k |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7k |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 162 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| dromedaryy | $644k | $590k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $503k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |