0xcbe21af3d7c8feb4577d01dd3c89461d36a3b059
regregr on Polymarket: -$147 total P&L, 65% win rate, 131 markets traded, $37k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $2k | 73¢ | 68¢ | −$111.24 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | $219.28 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $6.23 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $238.94 | 85¢ | 82¢ | −$7.17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | $284.94 | 65¢ | 68¢ | $7.12 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | $143.57 | 97¢ | 96¢ | −$2.51 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | No | $128.35 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $3.63 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | $151.78 | 70¢ | 78¢ | $11.01 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | $123.65 | 80¢ | 94¢ | $17.10 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | $127.55 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $0.89 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | No | $121.66 | 70¢ | 66¢ | −$5.23 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | $109.53 | 86¢ | 72¢ | −$15.88 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | $63.44 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $6.07 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| joseph00677 | $4.2M | $5.7M | 11.9% | 43.5% | $47.1M |
| raybanman | $1.1M | $2.5M | 4.8% | 45.1% | $19.3M |
| chubbytoro | −$300k | $2.3M | -2.6% | 49.1% | $10.7M |
| Kch-Temp | $2.0M | $2.2M | 4.7% | 53.3% | $48.0M |
| primm | $3.4M | $2.0M | 7.2% | 46.8% | $48.0M |
| KaneAnalytics | $339k | $1.6M | 2.4% | 52.2% | $16.8M |
| taylorsversion | −$816k | $1.5M | -7.1% | 51.5% | $12.2M |
| juice-fruit | $1.2M | $1.4M | 5.9% | 58.8% | $14.6M |
| goshkam | −$1.4M | $1.0M | -23.8% | 50% | $6.0M |
| liquiditycrisis | $257k | $965k | 6.3% | 55% | $4.7M |