0xd054e72b9e7995a6900aa8ced24dcfbd12007e38
0xd054…7e38 on Polymarket: -$154k total P&L, 78% win rate, 478 markets traded, $3.9M volume. Ranked #340 in Politics.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $86k | 50¢ | 82¢ | $27k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $86k | 50¢ | 18¢ | −$27k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $12k | 71¢ | 83¢ | $1k |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 59¢ | 88¢ | $675.75 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $2k | 55¢ | 86¢ | $480.99 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | $2k | 76¢ | 85¢ | $127.50 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | $1k | 24¢ | 96¢ | $860.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $1k | 79¢ | 95¢ | $155.00 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | $900 | 83¢ | 95¢ | $105.75 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | $899.99 | 74¢ | 94¢ | $177.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | $700 | 79¢ | 97¢ | $127.05 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | $699.99 | 80¢ | 96¢ | $110 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $522k | 4.2% | 60.8% | $22.2M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $458k | $430k | 2.9% | 58.6% | $9.5M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $352k | 3.2% | 44.2% | $18.6M |