0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9
cigarettes has lost $29k on Polymarket across 157,328 markets, winning 50% of the ones that resolved — -$7.3k realized and -$21k still open. Politics is the strength: $185k over 123 positions, mostly Elections markets, with Economics next at $115k. Right now it holds 2,999 open positions worth $512k, the largest on “Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?” (No). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 60k |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 17k |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10k |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 44k |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 17k |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | Yes | 12k |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 21k |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 18k |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 8k |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | No | 6k |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 28k |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 5k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| dromedaryy | $612k | $543k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| e46m3 | $1.4M | $454k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |