0xf1e1d98271d19cb607450ce5242df086df2e6f6f
forgetfuldory on Polymarket: $20k total P&L, 62% win rate, 39 markets traded, $363k volume. Ranked #90 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $14k | 97¢ | 97¢ | $50.00 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | $12k | 86¢ | 76¢ | −$1k |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | $8k | 82¢ | 76¢ | −$562.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | $2k | 60¢ | 95¢ | $747.77 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | $4k | 42¢ | 32¢ | −$456.68 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | $479.04 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $12.57 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | No | $324 | 99¢ | 99¢ | −$1.13 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $250.05 | 52¢ | 69¢ | $42.00 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | $6k | 19¢ | 2¢ | −$981.99 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $39k | 1¢ | 0¢ | −$127.51 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | $331.19 | 40¢ | 28¢ | −$36.57 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | $109.42 | 90¢ | 83¢ | −$8.60 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 6.9% | 61.5% | $27.8M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.1% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 7.8% | 47.1% | $4.6M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 3.9% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| 0x06b2… | $144k | $25k | 3.4% | 49% | $2.8M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2.1% | 49.5% | $4.9M |
| baran-ludoman | $6k | $25k | 2.8% | 48.5% | $3.2M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 11.9% | 42.2% | $187k |