0xf24d7f5f95b2f077ad40bbf203de51963a786a5f
aSmallFrog has lost $485 on Polymarket across 84 markets, winning 21% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $1 over 2 positions, mostly Markets markets. Right now it holds 7 open positions worth $15, the largest on “AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $583 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 8 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 56 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| timetowander | $4.1M | $1.3M |
| debased | $933k | $718k |
| elmcap2 | $1.1M | $280k |
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| HH168 | $516k | $152k |
| foodenjoyer | $756k | $132k |
| gaven-willwin | $9k | $125k |
| arjennnnn | $115k | $123k |
| XAE12Archangel | $1.9M | $107k |
| 0xcb31… | $94k | $96k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Economics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.