0xf939d62dde4db0aeb7630ed05ee167ca5120aded
qbug has lost $137 on Polymarket across 73 markets, winning 57% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $12 over 3 positions, mostly Markets markets. Right now it holds 27 open positions worth $696, the largest on “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $110 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 140 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 100 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 60 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 50 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 40 |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 30 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 20 |
| Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 20 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 20 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| Ronaldo2100 | $366k | $76k |
| Hauchn | $319k | $71k |
| 0x6302… | $113k | $64k |
| topdaddy1 | $47k | $59k |
| HHYP | $94k | $54k |
| MiuMiuYan | $107k | $51k |
| pako | $621k | $50k |
| 0x16c7… | −$158k | $47k |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k |
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.