Politics · Elections · 10 outcomes · live

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? on Polymarket: Below 190 leads at 44%, ahead of 190-194 at 16% and 195-199 at 13%. 10 outcomes are listed, $585k has traded on the event, $605k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Below 190, +9 pts. Every smart wallet on Below 190 on Polynyx ↗

Below 190
44%
190-194
16%
Ranked wallets
none ranked
Mover · 7d
Below 190 +9 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Below 190 by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

live

10

outcomes

$585k

volume

$605k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elect… · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

10 outcomes

1Below 19043.5%
2190-19416%
3195-19912.5%
4200-20410.3%
5205-2097.1%
6210-2144.2%
7215-2193.5%
8220-2243.5%
9225-2292.3%
10230+1.2%

Biggest moves · past week

Odds momentum

1Below 190+9 pts
2205-209-5.4 pts
3215-219-5.1 pts
4190-194+5 pts
5200-204-3.7 pts
6195-199-2.5 pts
7210-214-1.5 pts
8225-229-1 pts

Every outcome

Odds for all 10 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Below 190	44%	+9 pts	$184k	live
2190-194	16%	+5 pts	$36k	live
3195-199	13%	−2.5 pts	$50k	live
4200-204	10%	−3.7 pts	$48k	live
5205-209	7%	−5.5 pts	$58k	live
6210-214	4%	−1.5 pts	$33k	live
7215-219	4%	−5.1 pts	$23k	live
8220-224	4%	—	$83k	live
9225-229	2%	−1 pts	$31k	live
10230+	1%	+0.5 pts	$38k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? on Polymarket?: Below 190, at 44%, ahead of 190-194 at 16%; $585k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections??: Below 190 44%, 190-194 16%, 195-199 13%, 200-204 10%, 205-209 7%, and 5 more. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Below 190, the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.