No 94% · Yes 7%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢). Volume $56k, liquidity $47k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Republican House seats after the 2026 m… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 19% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $786k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $615k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 25% | $544k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $500k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $477k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tuoppias | Yes | 2k |
| Agyapro | Yes | 2k |
| SitsToPee | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 832 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 785 |
| chickendinner69 | Yes | 702 |
| LittoLee | Yes | 578 |
| stephansmith2004 | Yes | 458 |
| Razirback | Yes | 417 |
| Kutoba | Yes | 346 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 11k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 513 |
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