No 95% · Yes 6%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢). Volume $2.5M, liquidity $767k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Which Senate Swing States will Republic… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $14.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 24% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $868k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $481k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 920k |
| 0x498d2C229B37bF35116281BdDbE484d7e1b6DdD. | Yes | 300k |
| WordleAddict | Yes | 281k |
| ndb1 | Yes | 194k |
| jwerhor | Yes | 74k |
| MemeKing20 | Yes | 70k |
| HOG993 | Yes | 55k |
| Vespuccii | Yes | 51k |
| Arbguy | Yes | 45k |
| The-Joker | Yes | 38k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2.5M |
| milkteaboba | No | 68k |
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