Luca Van Assche won. Smart money backed Cameron Norrie (22 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $470k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.0M |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 27% · Clippers 73% | $780k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $696k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $514k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gourmet1 | Luca Van Assche | $70k |
| NiNo999 | Luca Van Assche | $27k |
| 0xacf8… | Luca Van Assche | $3k |
| 0xa0f2… | Luca Van Assche | $1k |
| ShunTheNonBeliever. | Luca Van Assche | $816.86 |
| Refaelnadal | Luca Van Assche | $627.33 |
| DAKWIN | Luca Van Assche | $460.61 |
| Mrl2090 | Luca Van Assche | $329.13 |
| EclipseChaser | Luca Van Assche | $256.79 |
| isingularity | Luca Van Assche | $142.99 |
| 0x3537… | Luca Van Assche | $128.11 |
| 0xf092… | Luca Van Assche | $118.92 |
393 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $106k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $91k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.