Felix Auger-Aliassime won. Smart money backed Michael Zheng (21 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $1.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $991k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $848k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 41% · Arthur Rinderknech 60% | $510k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $415k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| contessa1 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $3k |
| HordonHekko | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $2k |
| 0xc1a9… | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $1k |
| lexapro | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $964.63 |
| Nim89 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $763.67 |
| 0Ebe | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $622.83 |
| mkj | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $571.97 |
| 0x7879… | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $407.23 |
| 0x685f… | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $287.16 |
| worldclassdegen | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $221.40 |
| 0x889f… | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $170 |
| zivalegenda | Felix Auger-Aliassime | $150.84 |
293 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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