Raphael Collignon won. Smart money backed Nishesh Basavareddy (6 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $264k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
253 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $29k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $29k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $6.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez 10% · Diana Shnaider 90% | $1.3M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $777k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $620k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $493k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Raphael Collignon | $6k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Raphael Collignon | $5k |
| 0x241a… | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| Bigr100 | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| 0x7750… | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| 0x1fe8… | Raphael Collignon | $2k |
| 64sdfs89080llp098089dfgs9f80s9d8f | Raphael Collignon | $1k |
| 0x7f0f… | Raphael Collignon | $724.12 |
| potatoes22 | Raphael Collignon | $668.46 |
| 0xfd0a… | Raphael Collignon | $626.38 |
| 0x3d33… | Raphael Collignon | $536.97 |
| SOK0L | Raphael Collignon | $515.15 |