Alexander Bublik won. Smart money backed J.J. Wolf (18 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $499k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $714k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 64% · Luca Van Assche 36% | $538k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $399k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $360k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NiNo999 | Alexander Bublik | $15k |
| 0x05e3… | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| ssj3 | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| Onedayonedollar | Alexander Bublik | $654.58 |
| battlecruiser | Alexander Bublik | $480.10 |
| barocco | Alexander Bublik | $451.95 |
| luminaarx | Alexander Bublik | $191.09 |
| 0x7932… | Alexander Bublik | $188.24 |
| 0x8a2c… | Alexander Bublik | $165.42 |
| jjason888 | Alexander Bublik | $134.35 |
| lmzy9 | J.J. Wolf | $89.76 |
| sharpyx00 | Alexander Bublik | $86.26 |
232 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $53k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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