Carlo Alberto Caniato won. Smart money backed Lorenzo Giustino (6 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $32k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 20% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $810k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic 11% · Alexandra Eala 89% | $471k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $440k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $423k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $397k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 8% | $282k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Venusian | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $943.96 |
| MadridTime | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $777.40 |
| LightParadox | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $531.99 |
| 0x9086… | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $329.42 |
| Limousin | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $276.31 |
| alpheclabs2 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $60.98 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $39.57 |
| the1prophet | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $33.88 |
| Arcus-AI | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $32.59 |
| 0x9be8… | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $28.25 |
| piggypie | Carlo Alberto Caniato | $25.14 |
78 wallets held a position at the close. The 38 biggest winners took $4.3k; the 40 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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