Hernan Casanova won. Smart money backed Thiago Cigarran (6 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $99k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $931k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 2% · Antonia Ruzic 98% | $500k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 3648393489047 | Hernan Casanova | $10k |
| Venusian | Hernan Casanova | $922.55 |
| TRCM | Hernan Casanova | $809.74 |
| 0x02fd… | Hernan Casanova | $654.95 |
| 0x4156… | Hernan Casanova | $570.31 |
| Limousin | Hernan Casanova | $247.18 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Hernan Casanova | $173.65 |
| the1prophet | Hernan Casanova | $105.32 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Hernan Casanova | $84.17 |
| InAirdropWeTrust | Hernan Casanova | $82 |
| haribo1234 | Hernan Casanova | $73.04 |
| 0x568e… | Hernan Casanova | $58.13 |
134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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