Mateo Del Pino won. Smart money backed Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova (3 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $2.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $593k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $448k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 85% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 15% | $348k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $339k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Val99977 | Mateo Del Pino | $173.76 |
| Ffsler | Mateo Del Pino | $15.99 |
| betfun... | Mateo Del Pino | $12.69 |
| TenBellyDoyle | Mateo Del Pino | $11.08 |
| MrClaude11 | Mateo Del Pino | $10.78 |
| 0x8a99… | Mateo Del Pino | $1.93 |
| hhhizli | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$102.50 |
| b00k13 | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$5.60 |
| ET65 | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$5.36 |
| 7figtc | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$4.68 |
| eFMBS | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$4.47 |
| kal3ido | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | −$3.50 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $226; the 9 biggest losers gave up $133. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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