Tom Gentzsch won. Smart money backed Martin Damm (9 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $88k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 35% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.3M |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat 43% · Warriors 57% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $962k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $729k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 35% · Heat 65% | $580k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 16% | $397k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 30% · Natus Vincere 71% | $375k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Tom Gentzsch | $2k |
| Venusian | Tom Gentzsch | $2k |
| Limousin | Tom Gentzsch | $1k |
| MadridTime | Tom Gentzsch | $996.56 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Tom Gentzsch | $675.59 |
| MilesY | Tom Gentzsch | $392.00 |
| NM-P | Tom Gentzsch | $279.03 |
| Oulu18 | Tom Gentzsch | $237 |
| Paul973973 | Tom Gentzsch | $222.18 |
| iWasEnough | Tom Gentzsch | $173.31 |
| defipaca | Tom Gentzsch | $134.14 |
| 0x6318… | Tom Gentzsch | $123.33 |
201 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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