Martin Damm won. Smart money backed Dino Prizmic (6 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $163k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 9% · Natus Vincere 91% | $2.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $975k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $689k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% | $514k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 29% | $434k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze | Sorana Cirstea 24% · Alexandra Shubladze 76% | $381k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $371k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf12f… | Martin Damm | $3k |
| MrDouche | Martin Damm | $2k |
| 0xNuttawut | Martin Damm | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Martin Damm | $1k |
| 0x54ba… | Martin Damm | $860.23 |
| 0x54ba… | Dino Prizmic | $614.61 |
| Val99977 | Martin Damm | $397.50 |
| tenet-bot | Martin Damm | $288.04 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Martin Damm | $184.21 |
| BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | Martin Damm | $154.92 |
| laIaIalala | Martin Damm | $142.64 |
| capflip369 | Martin Damm | $97.25 |
144 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $13k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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