Michael Geerts won. Smart money backed Joao Domingues (3 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $419k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 23% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $1.1M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $848k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RDXR | Michael Geerts | $3k |
| 0x02fd… | Michael Geerts | $1k |
| KioskJammer | Michael Geerts | $903.92 |
| 0xcbef… | Michael Geerts | $822.22 |
| 0x99ce… | Michael Geerts | $245.56 |
| 0x18b0… | Michael Geerts | $195.24 |
| Loooooh3000 | Michael Geerts | $154.15 |
| vanya723 | Michael Geerts | $107.59 |
| Wupa | Michael Geerts | $80.94 |
| 0x5803… | Michael Geerts | $80.00 |
| SergeiZol | Michael Geerts | $75.62 |
| 0x5255… | Michael Geerts | $75.39 |
194 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $20k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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