Ignacio Buse won. Smart money backed Marcos Giron (39 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $1.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $854k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $539k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys | Tommy Paul 90% · Quentin Halys 10% | $482k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AV23IUa | Ignacio Buse | $40k |
| 0x5f65… | Ignacio Buse | $20k |
| 0xa0f2… | Ignacio Buse | $8k |
| hamlo | Ignacio Buse | $3k |
| OdileDeray | Ignacio Buse | $2k |
| mermlok | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| DR-S | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| darec | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| alcoholic1337 | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| 0x02fd… | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| squishy777 | Ignacio Buse | $1k |
| degenfren | Ignacio Buse | $942.32 |
854 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $93k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $159k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.