Hugo Grenier won. Smart money backed Marvin Moeller (11 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 82% · Pistons 19% | $1.2M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 6% · Celtics 95% | $808k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 69% · Wizards 31% | $757k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Limousin | Hugo Grenier | $933.88 |
| Oulu18 | Hugo Grenier | $510.34 |
| avotrade | Hugo Grenier | $340.35 |
| MadridTime | Hugo Grenier | $287.81 |
| TitoFloren | Hugo Grenier | $169.85 |
| LightParadox | Hugo Grenier | $167.08 |
| mouzsynapse | Hugo Grenier | $162.57 |
| 0x7462… | Hugo Grenier | $136.38 |
| hhhizli | Hugo Grenier | $90.68 |
| triplecoined | Hugo Grenier | $81.91 |
| Po1yamory | Hugo Grenier | $77.55 |
| SchruteBucks | Hugo Grenier | $76.83 |
117 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.5k; the 57 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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