Masamichi Imamura won. Smart money backed Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (7 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $870k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 18% · Zeynep Sonmez 83% | $648k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Masamichi Imamura | $274.27 |
| MurkSniper | Masamichi Imamura | $249.91 |
| Limousin | Masamichi Imamura | $191.16 |
| Arcus-AI | Masamichi Imamura | $157.55 |
| littlebay | Masamichi Imamura | $109.37 |
| Venusian | Masamichi Imamura | $99.32 |
| 0x58e8… | Masamichi Imamura | $95.70 |
| jpchakra | Masamichi Imamura | $88.26 |
| eFMBS | Masamichi Imamura | $73.64 |
| Gptball | Masamichi Imamura | $50.15 |
| MadridTime | Masamichi Imamura | $45.45 |
| 0x03f4… | Masamichi Imamura | $35.75 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 35 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 44 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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