Karen Khachanov won. Smart money backed Benjamin Bonzi (16 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $857k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.0M |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 27% · Clippers 73% | $780k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $696k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $514k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hamlo | Karen Khachanov | $4k |
| Diablosistrade | Karen Khachanov | $2k |
| Tantula | Karen Khachanov | $2k |
| VibeDoter | Karen Khachanov | $1k |
| UsagiMagi | Karen Khachanov | $1k |
| hobo69 | Karen Khachanov | $677.25 |
| DR-S | Karen Khachanov | $664.74 |
| mermlok | Karen Khachanov | $629.17 |
| 9Z2026 | Karen Khachanov | $408.92 |
| Sinaro37 | Karen Khachanov | $320.83 |
| prizrak17 | Karen Khachanov | $197.39 |
| barocco | Karen Khachanov | $171.81 |
383 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $16k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $122k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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