Michal Krajci won. Smart money backed Niels Visker (6 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 22% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.2M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 69% · BetBoom Team 31% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $887k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $822k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 53% · Tommy Paul 47% | $513k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $465k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic 13% · Alexandra Eala 88% | $427k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 29% | $423k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Michal Krajci | $966.14 |
| 0x7750… | Michal Krajci | $915.92 |
| 0xc1d7… | Michal Krajci | $447.77 |
| 0xc249… | Michal Krajci | $305.31 |
| Tacotruck02 | Michal Krajci | $247.50 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Michal Krajci | $190.03 |
| 0xecb0… | Michal Krajci | $102.40 |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH | Michal Krajci | $73.00 |
| bronca007 | Michal Krajci | $60 |
| truemagistion | Michal Krajci | $58.00 |
| arunannaveni | Michal Krajci | $53.76 |
| sara341 | Michal Krajci | $22.45 |
90 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $3.6k; the 49 biggest losers gave up $2.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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