Soon-Woo Kwon won. Smart money backed Martin Landaluce (25 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $222k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $508k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 71% · Arthur Rinderknech 30% | $480k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| riverskew | Soon-Woo Kwon | $7k |
| gardiner | Soon-Woo Kwon | $3k |
| 0xee34… | Soon-Woo Kwon | $2k |
| tenidspfmsp | Soon-Woo Kwon | $1k |
| NewTeamSosed4 | Soon-Woo Kwon | $547.35 |
| 0xa0f2… | Soon-Woo Kwon | $505.75 |
| Hanzpapa | Soon-Woo Kwon | $474.88 |
| SigorJabson | Soon-Woo Kwon | $469.23 |
| lirunqi | Soon-Woo Kwon | $447.47 |
| 0xb01d… | Soon-Woo Kwon | $391.03 |
| webtrex | Soon-Woo Kwon | $306.41 |
| luktrade23 | Soon-Woo Kwon | $300 |
398 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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