Michael Zheng won. Smart money backed Fabian Marozsan (29 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $458k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 22% · Natus Vincere 78% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $985k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $689k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $514k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $374k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74% · Puma Shen 27% | $316k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $278k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8a3a… | Michael Zheng | $3k |
| comon119 | Michael Zheng | $2k |
| fastball67 | Michael Zheng | $1k |
| battlecruiser | Michael Zheng | $903.85 |
| 0x2bf0… | Michael Zheng | $436.46 |
| cancan32 | Michael Zheng | $354.60 |
| 0cfcdb09827 | Michael Zheng | $344.36 |
| albumista | Michael Zheng | $340.51 |
| 0x1fe8… | Michael Zheng | $340.51 |
| 0x4f3 | Michael Zheng | $340.51 |
| hopper6 | Michael Zheng | $331.47 |
| aplstrade | Michael Zheng | $329.87 |
520 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $17k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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