Alex Michelsen won. Smart money backed Daniel Merida Aguilar (25 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $1.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $945k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $923k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $598k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 53% · T1 20% · Bilibili Gaming 14% | $392k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $346k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| IAmHomelessNow | Alex Michelsen | $6k |
| RanaAmariPredicts | Alex Michelsen | $5k |
| fastball67 | Alex Michelsen | $2k |
| 0x6e47… | Alex Michelsen | $2k |
| Eddd1x | Alex Michelsen | $1k |
| alcoholic1337 | Alex Michelsen | $947.65 |
| gg22 | Alex Michelsen | $938.52 |
| popkinz | Alex Michelsen | $510.60 |
| 0x2c54… | Alex Michelsen | $391.90 |
| wardog4 | Alex Michelsen | $225.62 |
| Pulpo94 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | $224.36 |
| jcasino | Alex Michelsen | $211.43 |
384 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $62k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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