Filip Misolic won. Smart money backed Juan Pablo Varillas (9 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $71k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 55% · Natus Vincere 45% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $985k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $794k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $515k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $456k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION 36% · Natus Vincere 64% | $388k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 28% | $307k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Filip Misolic | $578.27 |
| Sherz99 | Filip Misolic | $421.46 |
| crispy-avocado | Filip Misolic | $173.14 |
| the1prophet | Filip Misolic | $165.45 |
| Po1yamory | Filip Misolic | $74.20 |
| Val99977 | Filip Misolic | $70.80 |
| ddam23 | Filip Misolic | $68.83 |
| AD-01 | Filip Misolic | $37.10 |
| 0x7c14… | Filip Misolic | $37.07 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Filip Misolic | $34.90 |
| Ffsler | Filip Misolic | $34.80 |
| 0x9be8… | Filip Misolic | $33.38 |
89 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 52 biggest losers gave up $6.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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