Learner Tien won. Smart money backed Gael Monfils (27 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $469k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 79% · Suns 21% | $430k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 41% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| degenfren | Learner Tien | $10k |
| Daigiadinhngocson | Learner Tien | $923.44 |
| deepakrego | Learner Tien | $455.76 |
| darkumbreon99 | Learner Tien | $356.96 |
| 0xcd64… | Learner Tien | $327.41 |
| chenfeng999 | Learner Tien | $200.27 |
| 45354353 | Learner Tien | $178.98 |
| worldclassdegen | Learner Tien | $161.35 |
| ford12345 | Learner Tien | $83.78 |
| 0xd3f9… | Learner Tien | $76.79 |
| keatle | Learner Tien | $60.87 |
| 0x4093… | Learner Tien | $57.67 |
184 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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