Sumit Nagal won. Smart money backed Georgii Kravchenko (4 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 27% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $793k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $777k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $726k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 67% · Luca Van Assche 33% | $430k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $405k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $401k |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | Yellow Submarine 30% · GamerLegion 70% | $395k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Sumit Nagal | $912 |
| 0xfd0a… | Sumit Nagal | $445.74 |
| the1prophet | Sumit Nagal | $124.44 |
| hhhizli | Sumit Nagal | $84.48 |
| eFMBS | Sumit Nagal | $52.51 |
| capitalpiston2 | Georgii Kravchenko | $28.15 |
| capitalpiston2 | Sumit Nagal | $23.87 |
| Dex777 | Sumit Nagal | $18.25 |
| yuiui1025 | Sumit Nagal | $17.30 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Sumit Nagal | $15.16 |
| TRCM | Sumit Nagal | $14.82 |
| gigglygoat44 | Sumit Nagal | $12.74 |
64 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $1.8k; the 27 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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