Alex Michelsen won. Smart money backed Brandon Nakashima (30 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $788k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $895k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $353k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $339k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AnonymousUsername | Alex Michelsen | $2k |
| Mrl2090 | Alex Michelsen | $2k |
| INADEDEN | Alex Michelsen | $1k |
| frapyz | Alex Michelsen | $888.62 |
| Mowglifou | Alex Michelsen | $755.19 |
| SkyCapital71 | Alex Michelsen | $586.12 |
| gysh.qs | Alex Michelsen | $502.17 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Alex Michelsen | $452.63 |
| mamee2 | Alex Michelsen | $429.64 |
| ugh3 | Alex Michelsen | $406.24 |
| Dicarnusa | Alex Michelsen | $295.80 |
| 0xd360… | Alex Michelsen | $294.39 |
605 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $127k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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