Kasidit Samrej won. Smart money backed Carl Overbeck (10 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $39k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $895k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $593k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala | Tereza Valentova 21% · Alexandra Eala 79% | $496k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 100% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1% | $474k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| thestingsnake | Kasidit Samrej | $634.37 |
| Supp | Kasidit Samrej | $546.91 |
| MadridTime | Kasidit Samrej | $432.58 |
| rugmoney | Kasidit Samrej | $318.51 |
| NotJump | Kasidit Samrej | $295 |
| tnns1 | Kasidit Samrej | $147.76 |
| Limousin | Kasidit Samrej | $130.91 |
| AD-01 | Kasidit Samrej | $109.80 |
| Blackstar12 | Kasidit Samrej | $109.61 |
| Flaznorp | Kasidit Samrej | $94.82 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Kasidit Samrej | $86.70 |
| Venusian | Kasidit Samrej | $86.17 |
99 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $3.5k; the 47 biggest losers gave up $3.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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