Tommy Paul won. Smart money backed Daniel Merida Aguilar (14 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $102k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.8M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 41% · BetBoom Team 59% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $949k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% | $744k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $387k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 87% · 320-339 11% · 340-359 1% | $271k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xbc43… | Tommy Paul | $560.38 |
| jtwyslljy | Tommy Paul | $504.96 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Tommy Paul | $329.60 |
| 0x747c… | Tommy Paul | $250 |
| jerocotella | Tommy Paul | $222.13 |
| 0x5ce4… | Tommy Paul | $144.22 |
| viniplay | Tommy Paul | $111.89 |
| 0x8c73… | Tommy Paul | $107.14 |
| LightParadox | Tommy Paul | $98.46 |
| Venusian | Tommy Paul | $86.69 |
| 0x1c70… | Tommy Paul | $82.98 |
| andylovenba | Tommy Paul | $68.60 |
127 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.1k; the 59 biggest losers gave up $3.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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