Alejo Sanchez Quilez won. Smart money backed Andrej Nedic (3 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $135k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
155 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez 2% · Diana Shnaider 98% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.6M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $771k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $650k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $495k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $547.29 |
| qaz456 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $378.16 |
| Qinwenwin | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $141.03 |
| phredmoz | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $133.64 |
| PreserveGain | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $120 |
| SportsGuru | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $80.32 |
| MilesY | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $69.91 |
| 0x1c70… | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $63.83 |
| TennisRedCard | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $41.94 |
| 0x63a2… | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $37.09 |
| cryptoqan0n | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $34.66 |
| DM134 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | $29.24 |