Nicolas Bruna won. Smart money backed Franco Ribero (8 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $65k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $583k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $339k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 64% · Arthur Rinderknech 36% | $325k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tennistrader20 | Nicolas Bruna | $6k |
| Supp | Nicolas Bruna | $2k |
| MadridTime | Nicolas Bruna | $348.74 |
| LightParadox | Nicolas Bruna | $239.52 |
| Oulu18 | Nicolas Bruna | $236.70 |
| gavnol | Nicolas Bruna | $211.07 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Nicolas Bruna | $198.45 |
| the1prophet | Nicolas Bruna | $148.19 |
| Ffsler | Nicolas Bruna | $125.09 |
| MurkSniper | Nicolas Bruna | $96.92 |
| Venusian | Nicolas Bruna | $74.70 |
| 0x5f6c… | Nicolas Bruna | $74.58 |
88 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $11k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $6.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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