Otto Virtanen won. Smart money backed Vitaliy Sachko (8 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $45k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $593k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $448k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 87% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 13% | $348k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $339k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Limousin | Otto Virtanen | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Otto Virtanen | $643.57 |
| LightParadox | Otto Virtanen | $108.25 |
| Arcus-AI | Otto Virtanen | $94.35 |
| betevai | Otto Virtanen | $65.09 |
| 38791873984189 | Otto Virtanen | $47.20 |
| Oulu18 | Otto Virtanen | $39 |
| UNEB3154s4f251 | Otto Virtanen | $29.19 |
| 0x5d2e… | Otto Virtanen | $21.48 |
| 0x5f6c… | Otto Virtanen | $19.40 |
| yuiui1025 | Otto Virtanen | $12.70 |
| updownusdc14 | Otto Virtanen | $9.32 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 39 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 38 biggest losers gave up $6.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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