Yuta Shimizu won. Smart money backed Stefanos Sakellaridis (3 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $5.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $879k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $807k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Limousin | Yuta Shimizu | $6k |
| 0x2559… | Yuta Shimizu | $3k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Yuta Shimizu | $645.16 |
| therealparley | Yuta Shimizu | $370.16 |
| LightParadox | Yuta Shimizu | $312.26 |
| MadridTime | Yuta Shimizu | $299.31 |
| 0x6cf2… | Yuta Shimizu | $204.15 |
| 0xa0f2… | Yuta Shimizu | $177.32 |
| capflip369 | Yuta Shimizu | $105.00 |
| hhhizli | Yuta Shimizu | $79.23 |
| CAcap | Yuta Shimizu | $70.32 |
| Arcus-AI | Yuta Shimizu | $66.75 |
95 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $11k; the 53 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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