Arthur Rinderknech won. Smart money backed Sho Shimabukuro (37 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $401k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 36% · Natus Vincere 64% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $985k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $682k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION 4% · Natus Vincere 97% | $521k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $512k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $453k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74% · Puma Shen 27% | $307k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| beachboy4 | Arthur Rinderknech | $41k |
| fastball67 | Arthur Rinderknech | $2k |
| 0x6db5… | Arthur Rinderknech | $1k |
| 0xa0f2… | Arthur Rinderknech | $492.73 |
| GL--GL | Arthur Rinderknech | $265.82 |
| hobo69 | Arthur Rinderknech | $162.95 |
| biancoari | Arthur Rinderknech | $145.02 |
| 0x9d39… | Arthur Rinderknech | $100 |
| TE2137 | Arthur Rinderknech | $86.80 |
| JBJB7 | Arthur Rinderknech | $63.12 |
| 0xc659… | Arthur Rinderknech | $50.81 |
| dafguj | Arthur Rinderknech | $49.50 |
311 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $46k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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